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Roll Model: Simulating a Savings Plan Account Balance

Could stochastic modeling help Social Security actuaries achieve more accurate forecasts than traditional deterministic methods? It’s an idea they’ve been looking at for a new years. Here, in a different context, is basically how stochastic modeling works.
by Richard M. Rasiej


Don’t Try This at Home: The Academy in the Public Eye

Crafting a public message for an entire profession takes timing, training, and an understanding of how news is made and reported in today’s media.
by Chris Robichaux



You Are What You Eat: Using Consumer Data to Predict Health Risk

Lifestyle-based analytics—using data available from an abundance of consumer sources—is one of the best ways to help actuaries and underwriters price health and life insurance.
by Chris E. Stehno and Craig Johns


A treasury of Vanderhoof
For the first time, Irwin Vanderhoof's columns for Contingencies have been collected in one volume. Use our online form to get "Through an Actuarial Looking Glass" for just $16.

INSIDE TRACK
Welcome to CRUSAP
by Frederick W. Kilbourne

LETTERS

COMMENTARY
Pension Penchant
by Paul S. Polapink

UP TO CODE
Basics of the ABCD
Who, What, When, Where, How, and Why
by Julia Philips

WORKSHOP
Taking Stock of Option Expensing
by Glenn Bowen, Alan Perry, and John Hankerson

TRADECRAFT
Medicare Financing and the 2004 Technical Panel
by Edwin C. Hustead

STATISTICAL MISCELLANY
Record First-Half 2005 Profits and Surplus Help P/C Insurers Cover Hurricane Claims

PUZZLES
Cable Company Mathematicians
by Yan Fridman

ENDPAPER
Improbabilities
by Richard T. Zatorski


American Academy of Actuaries